{"id":2486,"date":"2018-12-13T05:30:35","date_gmt":"2018-12-13T05:30:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.relansa.co.jp\/?p=2486"},"modified":"2018-12-13T05:30:35","modified_gmt":"2018-12-13T05:30:35","slug":"ai-induced-atrophy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/ja\/2018\/12\/ai-induced-atrophy\/","title":{"rendered":"[:en]AI-Induced Atrophy[:ja]\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u304c\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u9000\u5316[:]"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[:en]For some, artificial intelligence and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.relansa.co.jp\/english-no-settlement-for-augmented-reality\/#.XY0DW5PYqCQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">automation<\/a> in business herald a new era of increased productivity. For others, these are a harbinger of job obsolescence and layoffs.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"E76\">I, however, question <\/span><span id=\"E77\">to what degree artificial intelligence and automation in the workplace will cause skills requiring human judgment and empathy to atrophy<\/span><span id=\"E78\">, and the impact that will have on effectiveness.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E80\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E81\">I have encountered a number of companies where artificial intelligence is already used to identify potential high-performing employees <\/span><span id=\"E82\">early on<\/span><span id=\"E83\"> in their careers. Typically, I would expect a manager in the business to regularly assess staff for this purpose, whether as part of a formal process in the organization, an individual one, or both. I would not expect a human manager to defer to the judgment of a machine. Yet I find this is what is beginning to happen. <\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E85\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E86\">The HR director of a major company here in Japan told me once that she relies on an artificial intelligence system to identify the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.relansa.co.jp\/could-you-get-a-job-at-your-own-company\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">best candidates<\/a> for employment and promotion, mistakenly believing a machine is unbiased compared to her or any other human. Amazon not long ago developed a system to identify the best managers with strong leadership capability in order to eliminate human bias. The system unexpectedly, however, displayed an aggressive bias toward men, never recommending women candidates. <\/span><span id=\"E87\">The machine <\/span><span id=\"E88\">merely <\/span><span id=\"E89\">mimicked male-dominated leadership biases of the company with a perfection even humans could not match. Amazon rightly abandoned the system.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E91\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E92\">Unbiased machines don<\/span><span id=\"E93\">\u2019<\/span><span id=\"E94\">t exist<\/span><span id=\"E95\">.<\/span><span id=\"E96\"> <\/span><span id=\"E97\">Machine learning<\/span><span id=\"E98\"> <\/span><span id=\"E99\">systems <\/span><span id=\"E100\">merely perfect and <\/span><span id=\"E101\">exacerbate<\/span><span id=\"E102\"> the biases of whoever programmed them, or the<\/span><span id=\"E103\"> bias present in<\/span><span id=\"E104\"> human decision-making examples from which <\/span><span id=\"E105\">the machine<\/span><span id=\"E106\"> learn<\/span><span id=\"E107\">s<\/span><span id=\"E108\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E111\">At a recent event in Tokyo on artificial intelligence and automation, a panel of experts agreed that <\/span><span id=\"E112\">artificial intelligence is not intended to replace human judgment, but rather to<\/span><span id=\"E113\"> improve upon it<\/span><span id=\"E114\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<span class='bctt-click-to-tweet'><span class='bctt-ctt-text'><a href='https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstevenbleistein.net%2Fja%2F2018%2F12%2Fai-induced-atrophy%2F&#038;text=Just%20because%20a%20manager%20gets%20advice%20from%20a%20machine%2C%20does%20not%20mean%20he%20or%20she%20has%20to%20take%20it%2C%20only%20consider%20it.&#038;via=sbleistein&#038;related=sbleistein' target='_blank'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Just because a manager gets advice from a machine, does not mean he or she has to take it, only consider it. <\/a><\/span><a href='https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstevenbleistein.net%2Fja%2F2018%2F12%2Fai-induced-atrophy%2F&#038;text=Just%20because%20a%20manager%20gets%20advice%20from%20a%20machine%2C%20does%20not%20mean%20he%20or%20she%20has%20to%20take%20it%2C%20only%20consider%20it.&#038;via=sbleistein&#038;related=sbleistein' target='_blank' class='bctt-ctt-btn'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Share on X<\/a><\/span>\n<p id=\"E117\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E118\">Yet what do you think the propensity of a human manager is to decide against the advice of a machine? <\/span><span id=\"E119\">After all, should <\/span><span id=\"E120\">a manager follow <\/span><span id=\"E121\">the<\/span><span id=\"E122\"> machine<\/span><span id=\"E123\">\u2019<\/span><span id=\"E124\">s advice and the advice <\/span><span id=\"E125\">turn<\/span><span id=\"E126\">s<\/span><span id=\"E127\"> out to be wrong, a manager can always blame the <\/span><span id=\"E128\">machine<\/span><span id=\"E129\">, whereas if the manager <\/span><span id=\"E130\">decides<\/span><span id=\"E131\"> against the <\/span><span id=\"E132\">machine and the machine turns<\/span><span id=\"E133\"> out to be <\/span><span id=\"E134\">right<\/span><span id=\"E135\">, the manager might be faulted for <\/span><span id=\"E136\">arrogantly <\/span><span id=\"E137\">ignor<\/span><span id=\"E138\">ing<\/span><span id=\"E139\"> the expert system.<\/span><span id=\"E140\"> <\/span><span id=\"E141\">What if Amazon had not abandoned its skewed system?<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E143\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E144\">Do you think it is far-fetched to presume that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.relansa.co.jp\/english-ownership-is-taken-never-given\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">managers<\/a> would abdicate decision-making authority against his or her better judgment to protect his or her career? Have you ever heard the expression, <\/span><span id=\"E145\">\u201c<\/span><span id=\"E146\">No one ever got fired for hiring IBM?<\/span><span id=\"E147\">\u201d <\/span><span id=\"E148\">Will no one get fired for deferring to a machine, or at least is that what managers will think?<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E150\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E151\">At what point does it become so much easier to rely on technology by default that we forget how to do for ourselves what technology does for us? If you think such a scenario is unlikely, consider how many Japanese adults have lost the ability to write Chinese characters by hand because of their reliance on Japanese word processors? When it comes to automated driving, how long do you think it will be before people forget how to <\/span><span id=\"E152\">parallel park a car<\/span><span id=\"E153\">, if not how to drive themselves?<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E155\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E156\">In a prescient 1966 episode of science fiction TV series Star Trek, the M5 advanced artificial intelligence computer ostensibly designed to command and run a starship without the need for a captain, officers and crew complement is being field tested, much to the dismay of starship captain character James T. Kirk, who is apprehensive about being replaced by a machine. <\/span><span id=\"E157\">\u201c<\/span><span id=\"E158\">Men no longer need to die in the icy cold of space!<\/span><span id=\"E159\">\u201d <\/span><span id=\"E160\">the M5<\/span><span id=\"E161\">\u2019<\/span><span id=\"E162\">s genius inventor proclaims. <\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E164\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E165\">The M5 performs brilliantly in tests until it takes a war games mock attack as a real threat and destroys a ship in its own fleet killing its entire crew. The M5 computer, for all its superlative <\/span><span id=\"E166\">\u201c<\/span><span id=\"E167\">intelligence,<\/span><span id=\"E168\">\u201d <\/span><span id=\"E169\">lacked the human judgment and empathy to tell the difference between a real and mock attack. Try as they might, the crew onboard the ship of which the M5 was in control was unable to turn the M5 off before it was too late. You cannot outsource human empathy and judgment to a machine. In the show, the M5 was abandoned.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E171\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E172\">Not so long ago, the autopilot of the most advanced Boeing 737 in service plunged the jet into the ocean killing all of its passengers and crew. A subsequent investigation has revealed that the autopilot incorrectly thought the aircraft to be in a stall, and responded by bringing the nose down. The pilots of the craft were unable to bring the nose back up as the autopilot continued to force the nose down again. Try as they might, the human pilots were unable to disengage the autopilot.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E174\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E175\">Had the pilots been able to disengage the autopilot, at least they would have known how to fly the plane. I shudder, however, to think that there may be a day when there will be no one on board who knows how to fly the ship without reliance on a computer. <\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"E177\" class=\"qowt-stl-Body\"><span id=\"E178\">And what about in your business? Who will still know how to fly your ship in the not so distant future?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>I have identified five common characteristics of robust strategy among my most successful clients.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>If you would like to know what these are and where your business stands,\u00a0<a href=\"mailto:steven.bleistein@relansa.co.jp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">send me an email<\/a>, and I will send you a free PDF.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/relansa.co.jp\/chapter-rapid-organizational-change\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1744\" src=\"https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1254\" height=\"638\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM.png 1254w, https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM-1024x521.png 1024w, https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM-768x391.png 768w, https:\/\/stevenbleistein.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Screen-Shot-2017-10-18-at-8.53.02-PM-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1254px) 100vw, 1254px\" \/><\/a>[:ja]\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u3067\u306e\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u3084\u30aa\u30fc\u30c8\u30e1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u767a\u9054\u306f\u3001\u751f\u7523\u6027\u306e\u5411\u4e0a\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u65b0\u6642\u4ee3\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u4ed5\u4e8b\u304c\u306a\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u308a\u89e3\u96c7\u3055\u308c\u305f\u308a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306e\u524d\u89e6\u308c\u3068\u611f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u3005\u3082\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u79c1\u306f\u3001\u4ed5\u4e8b\u5834\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u3084\u30aa\u30fc\u30c8\u30e1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u529b\u3084\u611f\u60c5\u3092\u5fc5\u8981\u3068\u3059\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u3069\u3053\u307e\u3067\u9000\u5316\u3055\u305b\u308b\u304b\u3001\u307e\u305f\u52b9\u7387\u5316\u306b\u3069\u308c\u3060\u3051\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u304b\u306b\u7591\u554f\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3082\u3001\u512a\u79c0\u306a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u4eba\u6750\u3092\u65e9\u3044\u3046\u3061\u306b\u898b\u5b9a\u3081\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u3092\u5229\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4f01\u696d\u3092\u6570\u591a\u304f\u76ee\u306b\u3057\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u901a\u5e38\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u793e\u5247\u306b\u5f93\u3063\u3066\uff08\u6216\u3044\u306f\u500b\u5225\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4e21\u65b9\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\uff09\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u304c\u5b9a\u671f\u7684\u306b\u30b9\u30bf\u30c3\u30d5\u306e\u67fb\u5b9a\u3092\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4eba\u9593\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u304c\u6a5f\u68b0\u306b\u305d\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u59d4\u306d\u308b\u306a\u3069\u3068\u306f\u60f3\u50cf\u3057\u306b\u304f\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u3053\u3046\u3044\u3063\u305f\u5149\u666f\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304d\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u65e5\u672c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u6709\u540d\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u4eba\u4e8b\u30c7\u30a3\u30ec\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u306b\u805e\u3044\u305f\u8a71\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5f7c\u5973\u306f\u6a5f\u68b0\u306f\u4eba\u9593\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u308b\u3068\u504f\u898b\u304c\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3089\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3001\u96c7\u7528\u3084\u6607\u9032\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066<a href=\"http:\/\/www.relansa.co.jp\/ja\/could-you-get-a-job-at-your-own-company\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u512a\u79c0\u306a\u4eba\u6750<\/a>\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u306b\u983c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30a2\u30de\u30be\u30f3\u304c\u3001\u4eba\u304c\u6301\u3064\u504f\u898b\u306e\u30e1\u30ac\u30cd\u306a\u3057\u306b\u3001\u5f37\u3044\u30ea\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u30b7\u30c3\u30d7\u3092\u6301\u3064\u7d20\u6674\u3089\u3057\u3044\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u3092\u958b\u767a\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3082\u3001\u305d\u308c\u7a0b\u6614\u306e\u8a71\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u610f\u5916\u306b\u3082\u7537\u6027\u3092\u5f37\u304f\u63a8\u3059\u50be\u5411\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3001\u5973\u6027\u3092\u52e7\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u306f\u5358\u306b\u3001\u7537\u6027\u306b\u30b3\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30fc\u30eb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u793e\u306e\u30ea\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u30b7\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u504f\u898b\u3092\u771f\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306b\u904e\u304e\u305a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3082\u4eba\u9593\u306b\u306f\u7121\u7406\u306a\u7a0b\u306e\u5fb9\u5e95\u3057\u305f\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3067\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a33\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3082\u3061\u308d\u3093\u30a2\u30de\u30be\u30f3\u306f\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u4f7f\u7528\u306f\u4e2d\u6b62\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u504f\u898b\u306e\u306a\u3044\u6a5f\u68b0\u306a\u3069\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306f\u5358\u306b\u305d\u308c\u3092\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u3057\u305f\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u504f\u898b\u3084\u3001\u6a5f\u68b0\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u5143\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u6c7a\u65ad\u4f8b\u306b\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u504f\u898b\u3092\u3001\u5b8c\u74a7\u306b\u9042\u884c\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u5897\u9577\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306b\u904e\u304e\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304b\u3089\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u8fd1\u6771\u4eac\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u305f\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u3068\u30aa\u30fc\u30c8\u30e1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u3067\u3082\u3001\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u9054\u306f\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u306f\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u306b\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3088\u308a\u826f\u3044\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u305f\u610f\u898b\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<span class='bctt-click-to-tweet'><span class='bctt-ctt-text'><a href='https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstevenbleistein.net%2Fja%2F2018%2F12%2Fai-induced-atrophy%2F&#038;text=%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E7%9F%A5%E8%83%BD%E3%81%8B%E3%82%89%E3%82%82%E3%82%89%E3%81%A3%E3%81%9F%E3%82%A2%E3%83%89%E3%83%90%E3%82%A4%E3%82%B9%E3%81%AB%E5%BE%93%E3%81%86%E5%BF%85%E8%A6%81%E3%81%AF%E3%81%AA%E3%81%84%E3%80%82%E3%81%9D%E3%82%8C%E3%82%92%E8%80%83%E6%85%AE%E3%81%AB%E5%85%A5%E3%82%8C%E3%82%8C%E3%81%B0%E8%89%AF%E3%81%84%E3%81%A8%E3%81%84%E3%81%86%E3%81%A0%E3%81%91%E3%81%A7%E3%81%82%E3%82%8B%E3%80%82&#038;via=sbleistein&#038;related=sbleistein' target='_blank'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4eba\u5de5\u77e5\u80fd\u304b\u3089\u3082\u3089\u3063\u305f\u30a2\u30c9\u30d0\u30a4\u30b9\u306b\u5f93\u3046\u5fc5\u8981\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3092\u8003\u616e\u306b\u5165\u308c\u308c\u3070\u826f\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 <\/a><\/span><a 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